Shrub-dominated ecosystems in mid-latitudes with typical winter rainfall pattern are considered the ecosystems with the strongest expected impacts from climate change. This is because they occupy regions for which the global climate model now consistently projects substantial reductions in rainfall, with direct detrimental consequences for plant productivity. In addition, fire disturbance increases due to a combination of greater drought and land abandonment in many regions, causing widespread damage and reduction of ecosystem services for forestry and tourism.
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