Models of the Spatial Consequences of Landscape Change

In this final class of models, we consider how changes in landscape pattern can be produced by a spatially explicit consideration of ecological processes such as disturbance. Landscape models offer the potential to understand the temporal and spatial implications of disturbance; identify sources of stressors on the landscape; and describe current impacts and suggest future outcomes of disturbance, including pathways for natural recovery or restoration. Disturbance modelers seek to explain how landscape pattern can be produced from disturbance at various scales. Here, we provide an overview of fire models as an example of the most widely used of natural disturbance models and then discuss the landscape influences and implications of progressive land-use change.

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